Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.006740 0.007528 0.008386 0.009394 0.010547 0.011831 0.013371
2025-05-25 0.005525 0.006604 0.007879 0.009508 0.011548 0.014040 0.017349
2025-06-01 0.004770 0.005958 0.007437 0.009434 0.012096 0.015569 0.020521
2025-06-08 0.004136 0.005341 0.006903 0.009108 0.012193 0.016436 0.022857
2025-06-15 0.003767 0.005010 0.006678 0.009127 0.012709 0.017879 0.026146
2025-06-22 0.003571 0.004880 0.006696 0.009463 0.013684 0.020071 0.030856
2025-06-29 0.003254 0.004544 0.006383 0.009271 0.013830 0.021005 0.033690
2025-07-06 0.002982 0.004246 0.006092 0.009070 0.013924 0.021844 0.036462
2025-07-13 0.002795 0.004055 0.005939 0.009061 0.014310 0.023190 0.040309
2025-07-20 0.002688 0.003975 0.005944 0.009297 0.015120 0.025346 0.045988
2025-07-27 0.002522 0.003789 0.005766 0.009210 0.015358 0.026508 0.049927
2025-08-03 0.002393 0.003651 0.005652 0.009218 0.015756 0.028003 0.054784
2025-08-10 0.002244 0.003475 0.005471 0.009108 0.015961 0.029219 0.059433
2025-08-17 0.002144 0.003375 0.005410 0.009209 0.016583 0.031364 0.066623
2025-08-24 0.002025 0.003232 0.005265 0.009139 0.016857 0.032830 0.072543
2025-08-31 0.001878 0.003032 0.005003 0.008825 0.016605 0.033137 0.075699
2025-09-07 0.001796 0.002937 0.004919 0.008844 0.017035 0.034996 0.083210
2025-09-14 0.001764 0.002928 0.004990 0.009167 0.018146 0.038568 0.096168
2025-09-21 0.001664 0.002791 0.004815 0.008981 0.018126 0.039478 0.101898
2025-09-28 0.001571 0.002661 0.004643 0.008789 0.018067 0.040286 0.107535
2025-10-05 0.001508 0.002583 0.004564 0.008780 0.018427 0.042194 0.117039
2025-10-12 0.001478 0.002563 0.004595 0.009007 0.019366 0.045752 0.132853
2025-10-19 0.001414 0.002475 0.004488 0.008923 0.019549 0.047325 0.142482